A Simple Process for PPC Budget Forecasting
As with most facets of marketing, PPC budgets tend to fluctuate with the seasonality of the product or service they’re supporting. Short of guessing or using rules of thumb, how can a digital marketer create PPC budgets that are based on metrics, rather than hunches?
If year-over-year performance data is available, turning to those numbers would be a helpful starting point. However, while historical data can provide general direction, it can also be misleading. Your daily budget, max CPC, quality scores, and ad pacing and scheduling can all affect the performance of a campaign and cloud your judgement as it relates to the number of people searching for a term.
Ideally, the digital marketer will be able to arrive at a monthly budget that relates to the seasonal fluctuations in search interest in order to optimize allotments over the course of the year.
PPC budgeting solution
Using Google’s Insights for Search tool, online marketers can base monthly budget allotments on actual search volume data Google.
See the following chart for the term “baseball gloves.”
While the chart doesn’t provide actual number of searches, it does provide normalized values of searches, meaning that it’s easy to discern relative change in search interest over time.
So how do these numbers affect your monthly budget?
In Excel, enter each month’s number into a column. In this example, January is 47, February is 60, March is 84, and so on. Once you’ve entered all 12 months, average the values.
To find the budget index, divide each month’s number by the 12-month average. The result for each month provides with you the percentage above or below the average for the search term.
Finally, multiply your monthly budget by each month’s index value. If your monthly budget is $1,600 and January’s index is 1.05, your actual budget will be $1,680 ($16,00 x 1.05). If interest falls sharply in February to 0.70, your budget for that month would be $1,200. Once you calculate all 12 months, your yearly budget should remain unchanged, but each month will be able to fluctuate based on actual search volumes.
And it’s that simple. Your PPC budgets now rise and fall with seasonal interest, based on real data.
Pic by Josh Clayton.




Step 6: Once your links are in the wild, you can move on to the exciting part: tracking the campaign results. Login to your Google Analytics account and click on “Traffic Sources” in the navigation on the left. The two sub-sections of interest in our case are “Campaigns” and “Ad Versions.” These reports will quickly overview the progress of your campaigns and the versions of your links you’ve posted on the social networks.










